Central Norte vs San Telmo

Salta stages a clash already worth half a season: Central Norte, seventeenth in Zona A with 14 points, host San Telmo, fifteenth on 16. Two points separate these sides in the thick of the relegation scrap, and the attacking numbers explain why both are down there: 10 goals in sixteen rounds for the Salta team, 12 for the Isla Maciel outfit, two of the least productive attacks in the entire group. San Telmo add seven draws to the picture, confirming a waiting-game nature that away trips accentuate further. Lower-table six-pointers in Argentina follow a familiar script: paralysing tension, chains of technical errors, referees forced to fragment play, and precious little football. Under 3.5 leans on that dynamic and on scoring averages that run far below the threshold: clearing three total goals would require an offensive explosion without precedent this season for either team. The most likely scenario remains a one-goal, at most two-goal game, settled by an episode or frozen at 0-0. The risk is a nervous collapse from whichever side goes down to ten men or concedes early. Confidence 6 out of 10: context and figures aligned on a low score.