Sturm Graz vs FenerbahcePrediction, probable lineups, recent form & season stats

The Champions League qualifier brings together two sides who start this round on level terms. Sturm Graz score 2.2 a game at home and concede 0.9, blanked in just 5% of their home matches and taking 2.1 points. Fenerbahce have finished 93% of their away games over 1.5, at 2.1 goals scored and one conceded. A Sturm side who always score at home Seventeen home games with a single blank: that is the strongest figure in the fixture. Their last six include a 4-0 against Hearts, a 5-1 against Sanfrecce Hiroshima and a 1-0 against Pogon Szczecin, with their only collapse the 2-6 shipped to LNZ Cherkasy. A Fenerbahce side who play open games Fourteen of fifteen away games over 1.5 and 67% past two goals: Fenerbahce never play tight matches on the road. Their last six carry a 5-0 at Admira Wacker and a 3-0 at Konyaspor, but also a 0-3 with Galatasaray. The verdict: two goals are needed. 93% of Fenerbahce's away games cleared that mark and Sturm score in nineteen home games out of twenty, with the two combined averaging over three a match. Sturm's 74% of home games over 1.5 and the one-off cup format are the reasons not to push further. I read it around 84%. My take: two sides who attack plenty, hard to see this staying a one-goal game.