Sabah Baku vs Aarhus GFPrediction, probable lineups, recent form & season stats

The Champions League qualifier pits the strongest side in Azerbaijan against a Danish team used to open games. Sabah Baku take 2.3 points a game at home while scoring 2.1 and conceding 0.8, with a clean sheet in 38% of their home matches. Aarhus have finished all thirteen away games over 1.5, without ever being blanked. An Aarhus side who always score This is the strongest figure in the fixture: in none of their thirteen away games have Aarhus failed to score, and in 81% of them both sides found the net. Their last six on the road include a 3-0 at Lech Poznan, a 2-0 at Brondby and draws with Lyngby and Nordsjaelland. A solid but not impenetrable Sabah Sabah have lost two of their last six at home, to Neftchi Baku and Kapaz, while beating KuPS and The New Saints. The defence concedes 0.8 a game, a good number, but 54% of those home matches still pass two goals. The verdict: one goal from the visitors is enough. Aarhus have scored in all thirteen away games and face a defence that keeps it clean in barely a third of its home matches. The only previous meeting, won 2-1 by Sabah, is the note of caution in a one-off cup tie. I read it around 83%. My take: Aarhus always find a way to score away, even against organised defences.