Lyon vs Sparta PraguePrediction, probable lineups, recent form & season stats

The Champions League qualifier brings a Sparta Prague side in deep trouble away from home to the Groupama Stadium. Lyon score 2.5 a game at home, have finished 95% of those matches over 1.5 and take 2.2 points a game, blanked in just 13% of them. The visitors produce a goal a game on the road and concede 1.6, at barely a point a match. A Lyon side who score heavily at home Their last six home games describe an attack in good health: 6-3 against St. Gallen, 5-2 against Macon, 4-2 against Rennes, 3-2 against Auxerre and 2-1 against Servette, with their only slip the 0-4 to Lens. Sixteen home games at 2.5 goals a match and a clean sheet in barely one in five. A Sparta side in crisis on the road Sparta's last six away games carry five defeats: 0-2 to Mlada Boleslav, 1-3 to Zbrojovka Brno, 1-5 to Nordsjaelland, 0-1 to Jagiellonia and 0-2 to Bohemians, with their only win at Slovan Liberec. On the road they are blanked in 41% of their trips. The verdict: the call carries two conditions, that Lyon avoid defeat and that the game passes two goals. The hosts take 2.2 points at home against the visitors' one and 95% of their home games cleared that mark, but asking two conditions together in a one-off cup tie is what keeps the confidence down. The 3-4 in one of the meetings shows how far this game can get away from anyone. I read it around 72%. My take: Lyon hurt anyone at home, and Sparta arrive at the worst possible moment.