Kauno Zalgiris vs Dinamo ZagrebPrediction, probable lineups, recent form & season stats

The Champions League qualifier pits two sides of very different level against each other. Kauno Zalgiris lead the Lithuanian league and concede just 0.5 a game at home, with a clean sheet in 59% of their home matches. Dinamo Zagreb score 3.6 a game on the road and take 2.5 points, with 94% of their away games over 1.5. A Dinamo side devastating away from home The most striking figure is the Croatian attacking output: thirteen away games at almost four goals a match and a single trip without scoring. Their last six include a 9-0 at Brinje-Grosuplje, a 4-1 at Slaven Belupo, a 3-0 at Radomlje and a 2-0 at Istra, with only a draw at Thun. A solid Kauno from another tier Kauno have lost one of their last six at home, with four wins including a 4-0 against Siauliai and a 3-0 against Panevezys. Theirs is the tightest defence in the Lithuanian league, but the gap in level is enormous. The verdict: the call is a Dinamo win. The visitors take 2.5 points a trip against Kauno's 1.8 at home and won the only previous meeting 5-0. The one-off cup format and the hosts' defensive solidity are what weigh on the other side. I read it around 76%. My take: Dinamo carry an attack from another level, Kauno can only try to hold on.