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Home Over 0.5 Goals
Away
Analyst
Tynecastle calls, the home goals answer The return between Hearts and Sturm Graz is played in Edinburgh, in a stadium that on European nights becomes a concrete factor. As I write, the outcome of the first leg in Graz is not yet known, but the pick looks at one thing only: the Scots scoring at least once in front of their own crowd. The read Hearts at home live on intensity and a high press, and in a do-or-die return Tynecastle's push will drive them forward regardless of the first-leg score. Sturm are a tidy side, which tempers the estimate, but keeping the Scots blank at their own ground is a complicated task for anyone: I read it around 74%. The confidence of 6 looks in line with the picture.
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