Gornik Zabrze vs Fenerbahce

The Zabrze night and a double task for the Turks The return between Gornik Zabrze and Fenerbahce closes the second qualifying round, and the pick asks two things at once: the Turks avoiding defeat in Poland and a game of at least two total goals. As I write, the outcome of the Istanbul first leg is not yet known, and that must be said. Where the risk sits The goals leg is the sturdier one: Fenerbahce have the attacking quality to strike anywhere and Gornik at home will try to force the game, a setting that rarely stays under two goals. The knot is the Turks avoiding defeat: Polish away nights are treacherous, and Fenerbahce's European qualifying history is littered with crooked evenings. Stacking the two conditions I read it around 54%, barely more than a coin flip: to my eye the confidence of 7 is high for an away combo of this kind.