Bolivar vs Sao PauloPrediction, probable lineups, recent form & season stats

This is played in La Paz, above 3,600 metres, and altitude is the first fact of the match. Bolivar host Sao Paulo, who won Group E with twelve points and a single goal conceded in six games. Bolivar at home are a different side Fifteen recent home games averaging 2.53 goals scored, over 1.5 goals landing 95% of the time and only 5% of matches without scoring. Their last eight at home read 2-1, 2-1, 3-2, 4-0, 1-3, 1-1, 2-0 and 6-0. But Sao Paulo have been flawless at the back In three Sudamericana away trips the Brazilians did not concede once: 0-0, 0-0 and 1-0. That is the genuine counterweight here, and it should not be brushed aside. The verdict: the ask is for Bolivar to score. Altitude, their home attacking output and their scoring consistency all support it, even if Sao Paulo hold the best away defence in the competition. I read it around 86%. My take: Bolivar find the net as they nearly always do at home, and the tie turns on how many they concede.