Santos vs Atletico-MGPrediction, probable lineups, recent form & season stats

Sudamericana quarter-final between Santos and Atletico-MG, scheduled for the MRV Arena in Belo Horizonte. In the group stage Atletico-MG finished top of Group B on 10 points, with Santos second in Group D on 7: the goal counts are identical, 8 scored and 6 conceded by each across six games. The competition produces an average of 2.30 goals per game. What the groups say Santos won only once, with four draws and one defeat: in their three home games one win and two draws without losing, 6 goals scored and 3 conceded, while away they took two draws and one defeat with 2 goals scored and 3 conceded. Atletico-MG won three games, drew one and lost two, taking three wins from three at home with 5 goals scored and one conceded; away from Belo Horizonte, by contrast, one draw and two defeats, with 3 goals scored and 5 against. Recent outings and the five previous meetings The last Santos game was a goalless home draw with Palmeiras, preceded by a 1-0 win at Corinthians and a 0-3 defeat, again against Palmeiras; further back came a 1-1 with Mirassol and a 0-0 at Macara. They did not score more than one goal in any of those five. Atletico-MG arrive on the back of two straight wins, both 2-1, over Cruzeiro and Vitoria, after three consecutive draws: 1-1 at Cruzeiro, 0-0 at Internacional and 2-2 at home with RB Bragantino. There are five previous meetings and they describe tight games: Santos won 1-0 in April 2026 and 2-0 in April 2025, Atletico-MG won 2-0 in August 2023 at the opposite ground, with a 1-1 in September 2025 and a 0-0 in April 2023 completing the set. None of the five produced more than two goals in total. The prediction may change in the hours before kick-off. Confirmed line-ups, late injuries, suspensions, rotation ahead of other fixtures and the state of the pitch and the weather can all alter the picture described above. In those cases the selection may be reviewed and updated within 12 to 24 hours of the match: this happens rarely, but when it does, the version published on this page is always the current one. The data and assessments here are provided for information and statistical purposes.