Serie A matchday 4: the forwards to pick, and Lautaro is not suspended
Malen top scorer on five, Raimondo second on four, Højlund and Lautaro scoring in Europe and at home. Plus the two straight fights: Scamacca or Krstović, Douvikas or Kean.
Serie A matchday four runs from Friday 11 to Monday 14 September. Below are the recommended names, ordered by fixture, from Friday night to the Monday late game.
Next to each game is our call with its confidence: it tells you which games we expect goals in and which we do not.
Venezia-Fiorentina, Friday at 20:45
Our call on the game: under 4.5 goals, confidence 6 out of 10.
John Yeboah (Venezia). He came off the bench at Frosinone and scored on 66 minutes. He opens the round on Friday night.
Venezia-Fiorentina, Friday at 20:45
Our call on the game: under 4.5 goals, confidence 6 out of 10.
Mateo Pellegrino (Fiorentina). He scored on 47 minutes against Torino, Fiorentina's only goal of that game.
Genoa-Frosinone, Saturday at 15:00
Our call on the game: over 1.5 goals, confidence 6 out of 10.
Antonio Raimondo (Frosinone). Two goals against Venezia, on 21 and 39 minutes. With four goals he is the division's second top scorer, and the call here is over 1.5 goals.
Atalanta-Cagliari, Saturday at 20:45
Our call on the game: under 4.5 goals, confidence 7 out of 10.
Gianluca Scamacca (Atalanta). He started against Roma. Him or Krstović, depending on who starts: it is decided at the final session.
Nikola Krstović (Atalanta). He was on the bench on Sunday. The alternative to Scamacca up front.
Jonathan Rowe (Atalanta). Also on the bench against Roma: one to check.
Charles De Ketelaere (Atalanta). He started at the Olimpico, and now faces a Cagliari side with two goals in three rounds.
Napoli-Bologna, Sunday at 18:00
Our call on the game: Napoli to score, confidence 6 out of 10.
Rasmus Højlund (Napoli). He scored on 53 minutes against Inter Milan. Against Bologna our call says Napoli score.
Sassuolo-Juventus, Sunday at 20:45
Our call on the game: under 4.5 goals, confidence 7 out of 10.
Randal Kolo Muani (Juventus). He started against Milan, on a trip to a Sassuolo side that conceded twice to Bologna.
Torino-Roma, Monday at 18:30
Our call on the game: Roma to score, confidence 7 out of 10.
Donyell Malen (Roma). He is the league's top scorer with five goals in three games, and our call says Roma score at Torino.
Paulo Dybala (Roma). In the side that has scored ten in three rounds, the most prolific in the division.
Como-Parma, Monday at 18:30
Our call on the game: under 4.5 goals, confidence 7 out of 10.
Anastasios Douvikas (Como). Como scored four at Genoa. Him or Kean, depending on who starts.
Moise Kean (Como). He was on the bench on Sunday: the alternative to Douvikas up front, one to check at the final session.
Inter-Udinese, Monday at 20:45
Our call on the game: over 1.5 goals, confidence 7 out of 10.
Lautaro Martínez (Inter). Two goals against Napoli, on 56 and 90+1. And more to the point: he is not suspended, contrary to what is circulating. He picked up a caution with a warning, nothing more.
Pio Esposito (Inter). In the most open call of Monday: over 1.5 goals, against a Udinese side missing half their defence.
How these names were picked
We do not invent ratings or performance forecasts. Every player here was checked twice: the club comes from the actual line-ups of the round just played, not from an archive that can be a transfer window out of date, and what he did on the weekend comes from the match report.
Next to each fixture is our call with its confidence: it tells you which games we expect goals in and which we do not. On Monday, with the round closed, we count all of them in the recap, the ones that missed included.
Every game of the round with our calls is on the Serie A page. Individual calls are in player predictions, and the record of settled ones is in the results history.
