Vestri vs Qarabag

The fjord night and the powerhouse's away task The return between Vestri and Qarabag takes the Azeris to Isafjordur, among Iceland's fjords, with the Baku first leg not yet played as I write. The pick goes with the away win, and the technical gap between the two stays enormous in any scenario. Where the risk sits Qarabag are a side of European league-phase calibre, Vestri a newcomer from a semi-professional league: over ninety minutes the away win is the natural outcome. The two factors keeping the estimate down are possible rotation, if the tie is already shaped, and the peculiar conditions of Icelandic away nights. I read it around 72%: clear favourites, with the confidence of 7 justified but with no room to go higher.