U. De Concepcion vs La SerenaPrediction, probable lineups, recent form & season stats

Universidad de Concepcion are fourteenth in the Chilean Liga de Primera on nineteen points from seventeen rounds, La Serena twelfth on twenty. The gap shows away from home: Concepcion keep a clean sheet in 48% of their home games and concede 0.9, while La Serena ship 2.3 a game on the road and have shut out an opponent once in nine trips. Their last four away days read 1-1, 3-3, 1-5 and 0-4. The verdict: the call is that Concepcion avoid defeat. At home they take 1.6 points a game and have won three of their last six there, against a La Serena side with one away win in nine. Concepcion have never lost to them at home in the six meetings on record. I read it around 73%. My take: a low-chance game with Concepcion holding the ball and La Serena struggling the moment they leave their own ground.