Tottenham vs HoffenheimPrediction, probable lineups, recent form & season stats

A final run-out before the season for two sides whose summers brought mixed results. Tottenham have won two and drawn four of their last six at home, including 1-1 with Getafe, 1-0 against Everton and 2-2 with Brighton, scoring 1.2 a game and conceding 1.5. Hoffenheim have swung between extremes away from home: 3-0 against Freiberg, 2-1 against Hamburg and 4-2 against Heidenheim, but also 0-4 with Borussia Monchengladbach and 0-5 with RB Leipzig. Two defences that concede Tottenham keep a clean sheet in only 21% of their home games and see both teams score in 73% of them. Hoffenheim ship 1.9 a trip, with 94% of their away games over 1.5 and 76% past 2.5. Adding the two together gives over three goals a game. What a mid-August test is worth The only previous meeting finished 2-3, in line with the call, but one data point is not a trend. The rest are pre-season numbers, with line-ups changing at half-time and priorities other than the result. The verdict: two goals are needed. 84% of Tottenham home games and 94% of Hoffenheim away games cleared that mark. The hosts' modest scoring output and the nature of the friendly keep the confidence down. I read it around 83%. My take: two light defences, this should move even through the substitutions.