Stjarnan vs Breidablik

In Garðabær, Stjarnan host Breiðablik in a greater-Reykjavík derby with serious attacking potential. The hosts are ninth with 10 points, but their home games are a manifesto of Icelandic football: 3-2 over FH, 2-3 against KR, 2-4 against Valur, 1-3 against Víkingur — matches that have systematically cleared three total goals. A team that scores, 18 in all, and always concedes, 22. Breiðablik, fourth on 15 points, come off years at the summit and travel with a 22-goal attack from nine games: the 6-3 inflicted on KR and the 4-3 lost at Fram describe a side that lives on open contests, while still able to win narrow when required. Over 2.5 asks for three total goals, a threshold Stjarnan's home fixtures have cleared five times in six and one the visitors' profile fully accommodates. The risk is the more pragmatic version of Breiðablik, already seen in the 1-0 over ÍA and the 0-0 in Keflavík, capable of slowing the game when circumstances demand it. Confidence 5 out of 10: a demanding market by nature, but on this ground the threshold has fallen almost every time.