Spain vs Argentina

MetLife, the final nobody had ever seen Spain against Argentina at MetLife Stadium: it's the first World Cup final in history between these two nations, the closing act of the 2026 World Cup. On one side the reigning champions Argentina, three times on top of the world, chasing a repeat that nobody has managed since Brazil in 1958-62. On the other a Spain who have won just once and return to the final after an impressive run, capped by the 2-0 over France sealed by Oyarzabal and Pedro Porro. A Spain that has scored every time The figure holding this pick up is simple: La Roja have found the net in all six games of the tournament, from the 4-0 over Saudi Arabia to the 1-0 over Uruguay, from the 3-0 over Austria to the 1-0 over Portugal, through to the 2-1 over Belgium and the 2-0 over France. They have never closed a game blank, and they managed it even against the tournament's sturdiest defences, France's included, which before Dallas had conceded just one goal. Argentina's defence is no impassable wall Across the way, the Albiceleste have won plenty but the hard way: 3-2 over Cape Verde in extra time, 3-2 over Egypt after going two goals down, 3-1 over Switzerland in extra time, 2-1 over England with a late comeback. A run worthy of true champions for character, but with a back line that has given up something in almost every knockout game. The verdict: Spain to score, with the typical brake of a final The pick only asks La Roja to score at least once, and the two main elements support it: a side that has never gone blank and an opponent that leaves gaps at the back. The caveat exists, and it's a heavy one: World Cup finals are games apart, tense, tactical, often stingy with goals, where nobody wants to make the mistake that marks a lifetime. That's why I go no higher: I read it around 76%, in line with the confidence of 6. My read: Spain find the net, but in a game more locked than their run would suggest.