SK Rapid vs PaidePrediction, probable lineups, recent form & season stats

The return leg of the Conference League third qualifying round at the Allianz Stadion, with Rapid Vienna sitting on a heavy advantage: they won the first leg 4-1 in Estonia. A gap in level Rapid are second in the Austrian top flight at three points a game, Paide fourth in Estonia at 1.67. In three Conference games the Austrians took maximum points, and at home they run at 2.14 goals scored with over 1.5 landing in 74% of outings. Paide games nearly always produce goals The Estonians have a distinctive away profile: 1.63 goals scored and the same conceded, with both teams scoring in 86% of trips and only 8% of games without a goal of their own. Even losing 4-1 in the first leg, they found the net. The verdict: the ask is twofold, a Rapid win and at least three goals in total. The gap in quality is wide and Paide away games are nearly always open, but with a four-goal cushion the Austrians may manage rather than push. My take: Rapid ahead and in control, with Paide unlikely to be shut out. I place it around 66%.