Shimizu vs Yokohama M.Prediction, probable lineups, recent form & season stats

Shimizu S-Pulse see both teams score in 79% of their home games and clear 1.5 in 88% of them, even while scoring only 1.1 a game. Yokohama F. Marinos produce 1.8 a game on the road with 62% of trips passing 2.5, yet are blanked in almost half of them. The six previous meetings were generous: 3-0, 1-1, 1-3, 2-3, 3-5 and 2-0. The verdict: two goals are needed. Five of the six recent meetings cleared that mark and Shimizu home games almost always do. Yokohama's swings on the road, capable of six goals or of none, are what keeps the confidence down. I read it around 79%. My take: two light defences, this should move early.