Sao Paulo vs Athletico-PR

A tight ceiling against a tidy defence Sao Paulo host Athletico-PR, an upper-table Brasileirão side with one of the more reliable defences in the competition. The pick asks the hosts to stay under two goals. The read Sao Paulo run at around a goal and a quarter per game, which makes the bar reachable, and across the way stands a back line conceding roughly a goal a match: two elements that marry well with the pick. The risk is a bright night from the hosts, always possible: I read it around 68%. The confidence of 6 looks in line with the picture. A controlled-game preview, with the hosts' attack contained.