Ranheim vs Lyn

A Friday-night fixture at the Extra Arena in Trondheim, where Ranheim host Lyn. The market asks only for a home goal, and the numbers make it one of the round's most probable events. Ranheim at home are an attacking machine: on the scoresheet in every home game this season, with the 3-2 over Hødd, the 4-0 against Moss, the 5-1 over Raufoss and the 5-1 against Sandnes composing a home average above three and a half goals scored per match. Overall the Trøndelag side have netted 26 times in nine rounds, the league's second-best attack. Arriving in front of them are thirteenth-placed Lyn, who have landed two surprise away wins but have conceded 18 goals overall and have always been breached by the more structured attacks, from the 2-4 at home to Haugesund to the 0-4 against Stabæk. The idea of Ranheim drawing a blank in front of their own crowd — something that has not happened all season — against a lower-tier defence looks statistically remote. The risk is a perfect night from the visiting back line, possible but without precedent on this ground this year. Confidence 6 out of 10: a conservative market on a very high-frequency event.