Ponte Preta vs NauticoPrediction, probable lineups, recent form & season stats

Ponte Preta sit bottom of Brazil Serie B on nine points from twenty-one rounds, Nautico fourteenth on twenty-six. The telling number is the home record: eleven games at the Moises Lucarelli with 0.7 goals scored and 1.7 conceded, eight scored and eighteen shipped. Nautico score 1.4 a game on the road and have drawn a blank in just over a third of those trips. The verdict: one goal is enough for Nautico. Ponte Preta concede almost two a game at home and have kept only two clean sheets in eleven. The six previous meetings were all tight, never more than two goals in total, and that is worth keeping in mind. I read it around 75%. My take: Nautico should find the net, the open question is who takes the points.