Ponte Preta vs Goias

A defence that concedes too much raises the risk Ponte Preta live at the foot of Brazil's Serie B with by far the worst back line in the competition, and they host a Goias side that is also imperfect at the back. The pick on a maximum of three goals should be taken with a bit more caution than other Unders this round. The read The hosts' defensive fragility is the real risk factor: against a side that concedes this much, goals can come. Holding the count down, though, are Ponte Preta's scoring shortage and the league's defensive nature. Putting the two together I read it around 68%: a mildly favourable Under but not among the safest. The confidence of 5 captures the needed caution well.