Palmeiras vs Atletico-MG

The leaders score, but concede very little Palmeiras, the Brasileirão leaders with a top-tier attack and the best defence in the competition, host Atletico-MG. The pick asks for at least two total goals. Where the doubt sits Palmeiras in front of their own crowd score regularly, and that helps the Over. The brake, though, is their own back line: conceding less than a goal a game, the leaders tend to close matches with low scores, and a controlled 1-0 is anything but unlikely. Putting the two together I read it around 72%: favourable, with the confidence of 6 in line with this dual nature. A preview of a game where the home goal is likely, the rest less so.