Manchester Utd vs MilanPrediction, probable lineups, recent form & season stats

A final friendly before the season, and the most anticipated of the English summer. Manchester United have won four of their last six at home, including 2-1 against Atletico Madrid, 3-2 against Nottingham Forest, 3-2 against Liverpool and 2-1 against Brentford, scoring 1.9 a game and conceding 1.3. Milan have been less consistent away: 2-1 against Genoa, 1-0 against Hellas Verona, but also 0-3 with Chelsea, 0-2 with Sassuolo and 0-1 with Napoli. Two attacks at different levels The gap shows up front. United score close to two a game at home, are blanked in 10% of those matches and see both teams score in 75% of them. Milan produce 1.2 a trip and finish without a goal in 37% of their away games: the main difference sits right there. A very even head-to-head The four previous meetings finished 0-1, 1-1, 2-2 and 1-1. Three times out of four the total passed two goals and in three cases both sides scored, which supports the call more than Milan's season numbers do. The verdict: two goals are needed. 86% of United home games and 72% of Milan away games cleared that mark, and three of the four recent meetings did the same. The nature of the friendly, with substitutions reshaping the game, keeps the confidence down. I read it around 80%. My take: United run the game and Milan have enough to answer, at least once.