Ludogorets vs Botev PlovdivPrediction, probable lineups, recent form & season stats

Ludogorets open at home, where last year they conceded just 0.5 a game while keeping a clean sheet in 62% of their home matches and taking two points a game. Botev Plovdiv produced 1.1 a trip on the road, blanked in 40% of them and seeing both teams score in only 28% of those games. Two defences that run the game The figure behind the read is Ludogorets's solidity: eleven home games with five goals conceded in total and only 37% of matches passing two goals. Botev are no slouches at the back away either, with a clean sheet in 51% of their trips, but they struggle going forward: in their last six they scored more than once on just two occasions. The head-to-head leans the same way The six previous meetings finished 2-1, 2-1, 0-0, 3-2, 2-4 and 3-0. Botev passed one goal in two cases out of six, and both came in games where Ludogorets had already lost their shape. In the other four they stopped at one or none. The verdict: the call is that Botev stay under two goals. In nine away games they have scored a little over a goal a match and Ludogorets concede half a goal a game at home. That 2-4 is the exception to keep in mind. I read it around 84%. My take: Ludogorets close the space at home, and Botev will need far more than usual.