Leeds vs AugustaPrediction, probable lineups, recent form & season stats

A final test before the season for two sides arriving from very different pre-seasons. Leeds have won five of their last six at home, including 2-0 against RB Leipzig and 1-0 against Brighton, and on their own ground they concede just 0.7 a game while keeping a clean sheet in 55% of those matches. Augsburg have swung between extremes away from home: a 3-1 at Werder Bremen and a 2-1 at Bayer Leverkusen, but also 0-4 with Union Berlin and 0-2 with Borussia Dortmund. A productive attack against a closed defence Augsburg's away figure is high, 2.8 goals a trip, but it needs care: it includes a 15-0 against an Austrian amateur side that inflates the average. Strip that out and they still sit above two goals, having cleared 1.5 in 95% of their trips. Two opposite readings of the same game At the other end Leeds are the more solid of the two at home: only 23% of their home games saw both teams score and in over half of them they conceded nothing. Augsburg are blanked in 39% of their away games, which makes the call less obvious than the goal average suggests. The verdict: one goal from the visitors is enough. Augsburg cleared 1.5 in nearly every trip and friendlies see defences concede more than usual. The confidence stays contained because Leeds hold a zero at home with some regularity and because there is no head-to-head. I read it around 78%. My take: a trial run with wide spaces, Augsburg should find the net at least once.