Isloch vs BATE

The fallen giant visiting a solid contender There's a story behind this clash: BATE Borisov, for years the absolute ruler of Belarusian football, now arrive in the bottom positions of the Vysshaya Liga with one of the flattest attacks in the competition. Isloch, the third force and with an iron defence, start clear favourites. The pick asks for a home win and at least two total goals. The knot is the two-goal threshold An Isloch win is the likeliest outcome, and on that the picture is clear. The delicate point is Over 1.5: both the hosts and a BATE this diminished score little, and a game ending 1-0 or 2-0 is far from unlikely. That's exactly why the combination loses value: I read it around 57%. To my eye the confidence of 7 is optimistic, because the real risk is a low-goal game even with Isloch ahead.