Ind. Medellin vs MillonariosPrediction, probable lineups, recent form & season stats

Independiente Medellin score 1.7 a game at home, have never been blanked in nine home matches and take two points a game, with a clean sheet in 46% of them. Millonarios concede 1.6 on the road and keep it clean in just 20% of their away games. The verdict: the call is that Medellin score between one and three goals. In nine home games they have always found the net and only 54% of those matches pass two goals, which makes breaking the ceiling unlikely. That 5-0 in the record shows the ceiling is not theoretical. I read it around 77%. My take: Medellin always score at home, but they rarely run riot against sides of this level.