Hodd vs Kongsvinger

In Ulsteinvik, Hødd host Kongsvinger, joint leaders on 23 points and one of the division's most solid sides. The Over 1.5 forecast deserves careful argument, because the hosts are the league's statistical exception: 13 scored and 13 conceded in ten rounds, balanced numbers in a competition where almost everyone scores and concedes heavily. The key, however, lies with the visitors: Kongsvinger's matches have cleared two total goals in all ten rounds this season, from the 4-2 over Odd to the 3-1 against Åsane and the 2-2 at Strømmen, and on the road the team has produced nothing but games of at least two goals. Hødd's home record also accommodates the threshold: 3-1 over Egersund, 0-2 against Haugesund, 2-1 over Sandnes, 2-2 with Sogndal, with only one game, the 1-0 over Åsane, staying under. The combination of a visitor that only plays matches with goals and a structurally prolific league makes the two-goal target broadly reachable. The risk is the more workmanlike version of Hødd, capable of muddying games against the top of the table. Confidence 6 out of 10: Kongsvinger's perfect streak is the load-bearing argument.