Guabira vs The StrongestPrediction, probable lineups, recent form & season stats

Guabira score 2.6 a game at home and concede 1.1, with 93% of those matches passing two goals, 2.2 points taken and never once blanked. The Strongest produce 1.3 a trip on the road and concede 0.8, with a clean sheet in 43% of their away games and two points taken. The six previous meetings finished 3-2, 2-1, 2-1, 5-1, 1-0 and 3-2. The verdict: one goal from the hosts is enough. Guabira have scored in all ten home games and in all six recent meetings. The Strongest's away solidity is the only thing keeping the confidence down. I read it around 85%. My take: Guabira are productive at home, the goal should come even against a careful defence.