Gillingham FC vs WalsallPrediction, probable lineups, recent form & season stats

Gillingham concede two a game at home, with 90% of those matches over 1.5 and a clean sheet in only 18% of them. Walsall have played twelve away games, 92% of them over 1.5 and 68% past 2.5, at 1.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. The six previous meetings finished 2-2, 1-0, 0-0, 1-1, 1-1 and 4-1. The verdict: two goals are needed. 90% of Gillingham home games and 92% of Walsall away games cleared that mark, and the two defences combined concede 3.5 a game. Three of the six meetings stopped below, and that is the margin. I read it around 83%. My take: two leaky defences, this should open early.