Genk vs WesterloPrediction, probable lineups, recent form & season stats

Genk score 1.1 a game at home and concede just 0.6, with a clean sheet in 63% of those matches and both teams scoring in 26% of them. Westerlo produce one goal a trip on the road and concede 0.8, with a clean sheet in 58% of their away games and only 22% passing 2.5. The six previous meetings finished 3-0, 1-2, 1-1, 0-1, 1-2 and 1-0. The verdict: the call is between one and five goals in total. All six recent meetings fall inside the range and the two combined average around two goals a game. The main risk is a goalless draw, with two defences this solid. I read it around 82%. My take: two sides who defend superbly, the count should stay low.