France vs Sweden

France vs Sweden, Les Bleus surging toward the last 16 The Round of 32 at the 2026 World Cup serves up France vs Sweden at the MetLife Stadium in New Jersey. Les Bleus arrive off a perfect group: top of Group I with three wins, 3-1 over Senegal, 3-0 over Iraq and 4-1 over Norway, ten goals scored and a Kylian Mbappé who made history as the national team's all-time top scorer. Sweden, by contrast, went through as one of the best third-placed teams in Group F, with four points: after a 5-1 over Tunisia, they shipped a heavy 5-1 to the Netherlands and then drew 1-1 with Japan. The tip under review combines a France win with a game of at least two goals. Mbappé and an avalanche attack against an erratic Sweden France have shown top-class attacking quality, with Mbappé in ruthless scoring form and a deep squad able to strike from several positions. Sweden, led by Isak and Gyökeres, can score in turn, as they showed against Tunisia, but they revealed a vulnerable defence that fell apart against the Netherlands. The clash between the French attack and a not-flawless Scandinavian backline creates the conditions for a game with goals, in which Les Bleus start clear favourites nonetheless. The final lineups remain to be confirmed close to kick-off. A recent but lopsided meeting France and Sweden have met in not-too-distant times, mainly in qualifying, in ties sometimes hard-fought but with Les Bleus generally in control. More than the history, what matters here is the current gap in quality, widened by their respective runs in the tournament: a France on maximum points against a Sweden that qualified by the skin of their teeth. The verdict: France ahead, with goals likely The tip combines two solid ideas. A France win looks highly likely, given the technical superiority and form of a side that dominated their group; at the same time, the two-goal condition is supported by Les Bleus' extraordinary attacking streak and Sweden's ability to score. I'd put the overall probability around 70%. The main risk is a game in which Sweden sit deep and France, while winning, break through with a single goal; it should also be remembered that, being a knockout, any parity could be extended. French quality remains a weighty argument, though, and the confidence is fair.