FK Liepaja vs Jelgava

A game for goals, but the visitors avoiding defeat is uncertain FK Liepaja host Jelgava in a Latvian Virsliga clash between two sides with vulnerable defences. The pick combines the visitors avoiding defeat with at least two total goals. Where the risk sits The goals side is well supported: with two back lines this generous and a high league average, Over 1.5 is likely. The weak point is Jelgava avoiding defeat, a slightly inferior side and away against a Liepaja favoured in front of their own crowd. Stacking the two legs lowers the probability considerably: I read it around 45%, just below even. To my eye the confidence of 7 is high, because the real knot is the visitors avoiding defeat.