Erfurt vs Magdeburg IIPrediction, probable lineups, recent form & season stats

Erfurt lead Regionalliga Nordost with ten points from four rounds and carry heavy home numbers: 3.2 goals scored a game, 85% of those matches over 1.5 and 76% past two. Magdeburg II concede two a trip on the road, with 83% of their away games over 1.5 and only 8% finishing without a goal. The two previous meetings finished 2-3 and 3-1. The verdict: the call is between two and six goals in total. Together the two average around five a game and both recent meetings fall inside the range. The risk sits at the upper limit, given Erfurt have already won 6-0 and 5-2 at home. I read it around 85%. My take: Erfurt score freely at home, Magdeburg II answer but concede too much.