Deportivo Madryn vs Los Andes

The Abel Sastre in Puerto Madryn hosts what is almost a statistical statement: Deportivo Madryn against Los Andes, seventh versus fourth in Zona A, means pitting a good attack against the most impenetrable defence in all of Argentine second-division football. The visitors' numbers deserve repeating: 4 goals conceded in sixteen rounds, an average below one goal shipped every four games, alongside 12 scored that describe a team built entirely on hermetic defending. The Milrayitas' matches average a single goal in total. Madryn own the best argument for breaching this wall — a 20-goal attack and one of the heaviest home factors in the category — but the hosts too have shown they live on episodes rather than sieges. Under 3.5 in any Los Andes fixture is almost a season-long constant: breaking it would require four goals in a game involving a team that has conceded four in four months. The most likely scenario ranges from 0-0 to a narrow win for either side. The risk is Patagonian attacking power on an inspired night. Confidence 7 out of 10: the visitors' defensive figures are a near-definitive argument.