Correcaminos vs TapatioPrediction, probable lineups, recent form & season stats

Correcaminos top the Liga de Expansion MX after three rounds on seven points, Tapatio tenth on four. The hosts play the most open home games in the division: 1.5 goals scored and 2.1 conceded, 95% over 1.5 and 82% with both teams scoring. Correcaminos have been blanked at home just twice in thirteen. Tapatio concede two a game on their travels and have lost five of their last six. The verdict: one goal from the hosts is enough. Correcaminos score in nine home games out of ten and Tapatio have kept one clean sheet in fourteen away trips. Four of the six previous meetings were draws, all with at least two goals. I read it around 86%. My take: Correcaminos will score, the question is how much they concede at the other end.