Coritiba vs Palmeiras

The leaders away, but with a defence that curbs goals Coritiba host Palmeiras, the Brasileirão leaders with the best defence in the competition and a top-tier attack. The pick combines the visitors avoiding defeat with at least two total goals. Where the risk sits Palmeiras avoiding defeat is well supported by their superiority. The delicate point is the two-goal threshold: the leaders' very defensive solidity, conceding less than a goal a game, makes a controlled narrow win, perhaps 1-0, very likely. Stacking the two legs I read it around 58%: to my eye the confidence of 7 is high, because the risk is Palmeiras winning without triggering the Over leg. A preview with the visitors favoured, but in a potentially closed game.