Brighton vs BolognaPrediction, probable lineups, recent form & season stats

A final test before the season, with two sides arriving from a high-level pre-season. Brighton have won five of their last six at home, including 3-0 against Roma, 3-0 against Chelsea, 3-0 against Wolves and 2-1 against Liverpool, scoring 1.9 a game and conceding 1.1. Bologna have mixed strong results with slips away from home: 1-0 against Atalanta, 3-2 against Napoli, 4-3 against Roma, but also 0-2 with Juventus and 0-4 with Aston Villa. Two attacks that look alike The attacking numbers are close: 1.9 goals a game for the English side at home, 1.6 for the Italians on the road. The difference is defensive consistency, with Brighton keeping a clean sheet in 36% of their home games and Bologna in 41% of their trips. Both, though, have shown this summer that they can concede heavily once a game tilts. What is missing There is no head-to-head between the two and this is a friendly, with line-ups changing at half-time and priorities other than the result. The reference points count, but need weighing for what they are. The verdict: two goals are needed. 83% of Brighton home games and 66% of Bologna away games cleared that mark, and the two combined produce over three goals a game. The confidence stays contained given the nature of the test. I read it around 82%. My take: two sides who play forward, this should move even through the substitutions.