Breidablik vs Vikingur Reykjavik

Breidablik vs Víkingur, the leaders chase goals on the road too In Iceland's top flight, the Besta deild karla, Breidablik host a Víkingur Reykjavík side that is dominating the league. The visitors have a near-perfect record in the opening rounds, with ten wins and a draw, 36 goals scored and just 6 conceded: the best defence and balance in the division, plus an attack running at more than three goals a game. Breidablik, for their part, are a good upper-table side, with a prolific attack (around 29 goals) but a more porous defence. The tip under review concerns the chance that Víkingur, even away, score at least twice. Context and caveats The Besta deild is a generally high-scoring league, and Víkingur are its most extreme example in attack. It is worth remembering, though, that Breidablik are among the more solid sides in the division and that, at this level, information on lineups and absentees remains partial. An away trip against a quality opponent can therefore limit the visitors' haul more than usual. Our read Víkingur's attacking power supports the idea of at least two goals away from home, but Breidablik's defensive quality introduces a wider margin of uncertainty than in games against lesser opponents. I'd put the chance of Víkingur scoring at least twice around 62%. The main risk is precisely a night in which Breidablik hold their fort and limit the leaders to a single goal. The confidence stays medium.