BKMA vs AraratPrediction, probable lineups, recent form & season stats

BKMA score one a game at home and concede 1.3, blanked in 47% of those matches. Ararat carry the league's most beaten away defence: three goals conceded a trip, nine away games all over 1.5 and heavy defeats including 0-3 with Alashkert, 3-8 with Noah and 0-4 with Ararat-Armenia. The six previous meetings finished 1-1, 4-0, 2-2, 1-1, 1-0 and 1-1. The verdict: two goals are needed. All nine Ararat away games cleared that mark and their defence concedes three a game. Four of the six recent meetings stopped at two goals in total, and that is the margin. I read it around 82%. My take: the visiting defence collapses regularly, and that is where the game opens.