Bentleigh Greens vs Dandenong City

A visit from the better-equipped side Bentleigh Greens drift in the lower reaches of NPL Victoria with the most-beaten defence in the bottom half, while Dandenong City, docked points for off-field matters, remain a level above on the pitch. The pick takes the visitors' away win, and the balance of quality supports it. Verdict: favourites, yes, but the away factor bites Dandenong have the attack and the sturdiness to run the game, against an opponent that gives up chances too readily. Even so, a clean win on the road always carries risk, since one moment can undo the favourites' evening. I put it around 53%: the better team is clear, the outcome isn't. The confidence of 7 looks a touch high for what is still an outright away win.