Asane vs Odd

In Bergen, Åsane, second from bottom partly due to a one-point deduction for administrative delays, host Skien's Odd, fourth in the table and fully in the hunt for direct promotion. The Over 1.5 forecast leans on an impressive home statistic: Åsane's home matches have produced uniformly generous scorelines, from the 4-5 against Strømmen to the 2-3 with Moss and the 0-3 against Strømsgodset, without a single game under two total goals. This is a team that scores, 13 in all, but above all concedes, 22, and whose table position forbids any calculation. Odd travel with 23 goals scored and just 12 conceded, and away from home they have almost always cleared the threshold on their own, as in the 3-1 at Sandnes and the 2-1 at Bryne. In a league running above three goals per game on average, asking two total goals of this fixture is a minimal target: it would take the Bergen side's first locked game of the season to sink the market. The risk is an unusually speculative version of the visitors in management mode. Confidence 6 out of 10: Åsane's home numbers are the decisive argument.