Alverca vs EstrelaPrediction, probable lineups, recent form & season stats

Alverca score 1.2 a game at home and concede 1.2, with 76% of those matches over 1.5 and 1.7 points taken. Estrela produce one goal a trip on the road and concede 1.9, blanked in 40% of them and taking just 0.6 points a game. The two previous meetings finished 1-1 and 2-2. The verdict: the call is between one and four goals in total. Both recent meetings fall inside the range and the two combined average around 2.6 a game. The main risk is a goalless draw. I read it around 83%. My take: an even game between two mid-table sides, with few goals expected.