Aluminij vs Sheriff Tiraspol

The Slovenian outsider facing a mountain Aluminij host Sheriff Tiraspol in the Europa League first-round return, and as I write the first leg in Tiraspol has yet to be played. The pick covers the draw or away win, meaning the Moldovans avoiding defeat in the single match. The read Sheriff remain clearly better equipped: an international squad, years of qualifiers behind them and the physical structure to handle awkward trips. Aluminij at home will give everything, but beating a side like this would take a perfect night from a team only now discovering Europe. I read it around 64%: the visitors favoured to avoid defeat, with the confidence of 7 just above where I would set it.