Alebrijes Oaxaca vs Tepatitlan de MorelosPrediction, probable lineups, recent form & season stats

Matchday four of the Apertura and two sides in the lower half: Alebrijes de Oaxaca have three points from three games with two goals scored and five conceded, while Tepatitlan are still on zero after three defeats, one goal for and nine against. The visitors have already shipped three in their only away outing. The Liga de Expansion runs at 3.04 goals a game. The verdict: the call is for the hosts to score at least once. Tepatitlan have the leakiest defence in the division, conceding three a game on average, though Oaxaca have yet to find the net at home. I read it around 73%. My take: a first home goal for Oaxaca looks more likely than not, with the visiting back line still leaking.