Aldershot vs HartlepoolPrediction, probable lineups, recent form & season stats

Aldershot Town conceded 2.1 a game at home and have never kept a clean sheet in eleven home matches, while being blanked in 57% of them. Hartlepool concede 2.2 a trip on the road, with 63% of their away games past 2.5 and heavy defeats including 0-7 at Wealdstone. The six previous meetings finished 0-3, 1-0, 3-2, 2-0, 2-0 and 2-1. The verdict: two goals are needed. 90% of Aldershot home games and 70% of Hartlepool away games cleared that mark, and five of the six recent meetings did the same. The hosts' attack remains the weak point. I read it around 82%. My take: two defences that concede plenty, this should move.