Alavés vs GetafePrediction, probable lineups, recent form & season stats

LaLiga returns at Mendizorroza with two sides who built survival on opposite foundations last year. Alaves played very open home games: eleven home matches with 1.4 goals scored and 1.6 conceded, 89% over 1.5, 65% past two goals and 81% seeing both teams score, with one match finishing without conceding. Getafe were the exact opposite away from the Coliseum: 0.7 goals scored a trip, only 16% of those games past 2.5 and a clean sheet in 38% of them. Two registers at opposite poles Getafe are the division's tightest away side: their last six trips finished 0-1 with Elche, 0-0 at Oviedo, 1-0 against Real Sociedad, 0-1 with Levante, 2-1 against Espanyol and 0-1 with Atletico Madrid. Five times in six the total stopped at one or two goals. Alaves produce more at home, but nearly always while conceding. A head-to-head leaning the same way The six previous meetings finished 0-2, 1-1, 0-1, 2-0, 1-0 and 1-0. Not one of the six passed two goals in total, and in four cases the count stopped at one. It is the clearest confirmation of what Getafe's away numbers show. The verdict: the ceiling is three goals. All six recent meetings stayed inside two goals and Getafe pass 2.5 in barely one away game in six. The Alaves home record, with 65% of matches past two goals, is what needs keeping in mind. I read it around 80%. My take: Getafe drag the game to their tempo, and with them matches nearly always finish short.